Engpässe auf dem Arbeitsmarkt: Geändertes Bildungs- und Erwerbsverhalten mildert Fachkräftemangel : neue Ergebnisse der BIBB-IAB-Qualifikations- und Berufsfeldprojektionen bis zum Jahr 2030
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156427
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Bertelsmann
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Bielefeld
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BIBB-Mitarbeiter
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Abstract
"Aussagen über einen drohenden Fachkräfte- oder gar generellen Arbeitskräftemangel sind zum festen Bestandteil in der politischen Diskussion um die Zukunft des deutschen Arbeitsmarktes geworden. Neue Modellrechnungen der Qualifikations- und Berufsfeldprojektionen im Rahmen des vom Bundesinstitut für Berufsbildung (BIBB) und des Instituts für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung der Bundesagentur für Arbeit (IAB) gemeinsam durchgeführten QuBe-Projekts zeigen, dass bis zum Jahr 2030 trotz gestiegenem Erwerbsverhalten, insbesondere von Frauen und Älteren, Engpässe in einigen Berufsbereichen auf der mittleren Qualifikationsebene erkennbar sind." (Autorenreferat, BIBB-Doku)
"Statements regarding an impending shortage of skilled workers or even an overall shortage of labour have become a standard feature in political discussions about the future of the German labour market. Model calculations of the qualifications and occupational-field projections conducted as part of the QuBe project which is being carried out jointly by the Federal Institute for Vocational Education and Training (BIBB) and the Federal Employment Agency's Institute for Employment Research (IAB) show that until the year 2030 there will be shortages in a few occupational fields despite increased employment behaviour, particularly among women and older workers. At macroeconomic level, no serious shortages are to be expected at national level in the coming years." (Authors' abstract, BIBB-Doku)
"Statements regarding an impending shortage of skilled workers or even an overall shortage of labour have become a standard feature in political discussions about the future of the German labour market. Model calculations of the qualifications and occupational-field projections conducted as part of the QuBe project which is being carried out jointly by the Federal Institute for Vocational Education and Training (BIBB) and the Federal Employment Agency's Institute for Employment Research (IAB) show that until the year 2030 there will be shortages in a few occupational fields despite increased employment behaviour, particularly among women and older workers. At macroeconomic level, no serious shortages are to be expected at national level in the coming years." (Authors' abstract, BIBB-Doku)